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Red31
91668.8
916211.3
945816.3
Blue45
930210.9
80669.0
911010.0
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2730010204050603145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.30.1
11.211.3
Auto5.6
Teleop9.7
End0.9
red by 5.4
9302
#48
10.90.4
7.78.1
Auto3.9
Teleop6.5
End0.5
Second
9162
#24
11.30.1
5.15.2
Auto4.2
Teleop6.0
End1.1
red by 1.2
9110
#47
10.00.4
8.69.0
Auto3.6
Teleop5.1
End1.4
Third
9166
#51
8.80.1
8.08.1
Auto3.3
Teleop5.1
End0.4
blue by 0.2
8066
#23
9.00.4
10.110.5
Auto3.0
Teleop5.2
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed