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Red19
91657.5
916412.4
930512.9
Blue20
961110.9
640410.6
96753.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions353101020405060701920

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9305
#43
12.91.6
10.28.6
Auto3.0
Teleop9.1
End0.8
red by 2.0
9611
#15
10.92.7
10.98.2
Auto4.4
Teleop5.6
End1.0
Second
9164
#37
12.41.6
12.510.9
Auto7.1
Teleop3.9
End1.3
red by 1.8
6404
#32
10.60.9
10.09.1
Auto3.7
Teleop5.3
End1.6
Third
9165
#53
7.51.6
8.77.1
Auto3.2
Teleop3.9
End0.5
red by 3.8
9675
#52
3.74.5
3.78.2
Auto1.6
Teleop0.7
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed