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Red40
945912.9
186013.1
74598.4
Blue26
888217.0
921911.4
904810.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions353210204050604026

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1860
#18
13.10.7
12.812.1
Auto6.3
Teleop5.5
End1.3
blue by 3.9
8882
#25
17.00.3
7.77.3
Auto6.9
Teleop10.0
End0.1
Second
9459
#49
12.94.4
12.98.5
Auto4.9
Teleop7.0
End1.0
red by 1.5
9219
#28
11.40.3
11.210.8
Auto2.6
Teleop8.3
End0.4
Third
7459
#29
8.40.7
9.28.5
Auto3.3
Teleop3.7
End1.3
blue by 2.5
9048
#38
10.80.3
10.310.0
Auto4.9
Teleop5.5
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed