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Red9
92180.6
917810.5
904713.5
Blue47
580015.8
756522.9
906612.0
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions323510204050947

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
13.52.2
11.08.8
Auto5.0
Teleop7.2
End1.2
blue by 9.5
7565
#20
22.91.5
12.914.3
Auto7.6
Teleop14.6
End0.7
Second
9178
#44
10.52.2
9.47.1
Auto3.0
Teleop6.7
End0.8
blue by 5.3
5800
#30
15.81.5
10.311.8
Auto7.1
Teleop7.7
End1.0
Third
9218
#55
0.62.2
8.76.5
Auto0.3
Teleop0.4
End-0.1
blue by 11.3
9066
#11
12.01.5
8.49.9
Auto3.6
Teleop7.1
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed