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Red38
90457.5
946116.1
948611.6
Blue26
756316.0
904613.7
96578.7
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3033102040503826

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9461
#19
16.16.3
16.19.8
Auto5.9
Teleop7.9
End2.3
red by 0.1
7563
#10
16.00.4
12.712.3
Auto5.9
Teleop7.3
End2.8
Second
9486
#17
11.61.8
11.69.8
Auto4.4
Teleop6.6
End0.6
blue by 2.1
9046
#35
13.70.4
7.57.1
Auto4.3
Teleop8.6
End0.8
Third
9045
#34
7.50.7
9.510.2
Auto3.5
Teleop3.7
End0.3
blue by 1.2
9657
#41
8.70.1
8.78.8
Auto4.8
Teleop3.7
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed