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Red42
91668.8
960418.8
916916.9
Blue44
916412.4
904810.8
920019.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3436152025304045504244

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.81.3
10.011.2
Auto8.7
Teleop9.7
End0.4
blue by 0.2
9200
#14
19.00.8
11.212.0
Auto6.2
Teleop11.5
End1.2
Second
9169
#27
16.91.3
12.613.8
Auto5.5
Teleop10.6
End0.8
red by 4.5
9164
#37
12.40.8
10.911.7
Auto7.1
Teleop3.9
End1.3
Third
9166
#51
8.81.3
8.19.3
Auto3.3
Teleop5.1
End0.4
blue by 2.1
9048
#38
10.80.8
10.010.7
Auto4.9
Teleop5.5
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsEarned17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed