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Red29
917810.5
904613.7
930512.9
Blue40
960219.7
921911.4
756710.9
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24360102030405060702940

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9046
#35
13.70.7
7.17.8
Auto4.3
Teleop8.6
End0.8
blue by 6.0
19.71.0
10.010.9
Auto6.0
Teleop13.0
End0.6
Second
9305
#43
12.90.7
8.69.3
Auto3.0
Teleop9.1
End0.8
red by 1.6
9219
#28
11.41.0
10.811.8
Auto2.6
Teleop8.3
End0.4
Third
9178
#44
10.50.7
7.17.8
Auto3.0
Teleop6.7
End0.8
blue by 0.4
7567
#42
10.91.0
10.511.5
Auto3.7
Teleop6.6
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed