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Red38
916310.3
961110.9
906612.0
Blue39
91958.8
90457.5
115627.5
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions263801020305060703839

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9066
#11
12.00.3
9.910.2
Auto3.6
Teleop7.1
End1.3
blue by 15.6
27.50.7
16.917.6
Auto12.7
Teleop12.5
End2.2
Second
9611
#15
10.90.3
8.28.5
Auto4.4
Teleop5.6
End1.0
red by 2.1
9195
#46
8.80.7
5.76.4
Auto4.4
Teleop3.9
End0.5
Third
9163
#40
10.30.3
7.07.3
Auto6.9
Teleop2.2
End1.1
red by 2.8
9045
#34
7.50.7
10.210.9
Auto3.5
Teleop3.7
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsEarned9%Ensemble oddsMissed