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Red44
905015.3
948517.8
640410.6
Blue45
946019.7
70339.3
916818.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions363102060801001204445

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9485
#16
17.81.4
12.714.1
Auto6.7
Teleop10.1
End1.0
blue by 1.9
9460
#12
19.71.3
11.212.5
Auto7.3
Teleop11.7
End0.7
Second
9050
#21
15.31.4
9.310.6
Auto7.0
Teleop7.8
End0.6
blue by 2.7
9168
#31
18.01.3
10.511.8
Auto6.2
Teleop10.7
End1.1
Third
6404
#32
10.61.4
9.711.0
Auto3.7
Teleop5.3
End1.6
red by 1.3
7033
#36
9.31.3
6.67.9
Auto3.5
Teleop3.8
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed