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Red56
580015.8
917518.2
919917.1
Blue38
916211.3
911010.0
91657.5
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4318060801005638

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9175
#3Sur
18.22.0
13.815.7
Auto4.5
Teleop12.1
End1.6
red by 7.0
9162
#24
11.31.5
5.26.7
Auto4.2
Teleop6.0
End1.1
Second
17.12.0
10.112.0
Auto6.1
Teleop10.2
End0.9
red by 7.1
9110
#47Sur
10.01.5
9.010.5
Auto3.6
Teleop5.1
End1.4
Third
5800
#30
15.82.0
12.414.4
Auto7.1
Teleop7.7
End1.0
red by 8.3
9165
#53
7.51.5
5.46.9
Auto3.2
Teleop3.9
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsEarned12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed