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Red33
827612.4
916412.4
960418.8
Blue52
904613.7
960317.8
945816.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36371020305060703352

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.80.0
11.211.3
Auto8.7
Teleop9.7
End0.4
red by 1.1
9603
#26
17.82.0
14.616.6
Auto5.8
Teleop11.2
End0.8
Second
8276
#22
12.40.0
9.89.9
Auto6.0
Teleop6.1
End0.3
blue by 3.9
16.32.0
11.313.3
Auto5.6
Teleop9.7
End0.9
Third
9164
#37
12.40.0
11.711.7
Auto7.1
Teleop3.9
End1.3
blue by 1.3
9046
#35
13.72.0
7.89.8
Auto4.3
Teleop8.6
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed