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Red29
177217.2
930210.9
921911.4
Blue39
948611.6
960219.7
916310.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions402802060802939

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1772
#13
17.20.6
14.814.2
Auto7.0
Teleop9.4
End0.9
blue by 2.4
19.70.2
10.911.2
Auto6.0
Teleop13.0
End0.6
Second
9219
#28
11.40.6
11.811.1
Auto2.6
Teleop8.3
End0.4
blue by 0.2
9486
#17
11.60.2
8.58.8
Auto4.4
Teleop6.6
End0.6
Third
9302
#48
10.90.6
8.17.5
Auto3.9
Teleop6.5
End0.5
red by 0.7
9163
#40
10.30.2
7.37.6
Auto6.9
Teleop2.2
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsEarned