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Red26
90457.5
961110.9
904713.5
Blue22
888217.0
917810.5
91668.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions332801020405060702622

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
13.50.4
9.89.5
Auto5.0
Teleop7.2
End1.2
blue by 3.6
8882
#25
17.00.4
8.68.2
Auto6.9
Teleop10.0
End0.1
Second
9611
#15
10.90.4
8.58.2
Auto4.4
Teleop5.6
End1.0
red by 0.4
9178
#44
10.50.4
7.87.4
Auto3.0
Teleop6.7
End0.8
Third
9045
#34
7.50.4
10.910.5
Auto3.5
Teleop3.7
End0.3
blue by 1.2
9166
#51
8.80.4
9.38.9
Auto3.3
Teleop5.1
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed