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Red40
905015.3
920019.0
948711.3
Blue30
90499.3
96753.7
930512.9
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3927010205060704030

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9200
#14
19.00.1
12.012.1
Auto6.2
Teleop11.5
End1.2
red by 6.1
9305
#43
12.90.5
9.39.8
Auto3.0
Teleop9.1
End0.8
Second
9050
#21
15.30.1
10.610.8
Auto7.0
Teleop7.8
End0.6
red by 6.0
9049
#50
9.30.5
9.810.3
Auto2.7
Teleop5.8
End0.8
Third
9487
#33
11.30.1
11.311.5
Auto3.1
Teleop6.7
End1.4
red by 7.6
9675
#52
3.70.5
6.67.1
Auto1.6
Teleop0.7
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed