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Red19
946019.7
96176.8
91968.3
Blue33
906612.0
74598.4
756316.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3034102040501933

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9460
#12
19.71.0
12.511.5
Auto7.3
Teleop11.7
End0.7
red by 3.7
7563
#10
16.00.1
13.313.2
Auto5.9
Teleop7.3
End2.8
Second
9196
#45
8.31.0
7.86.9
Auto2.6
Teleop5.0
End0.7
blue by 3.7
9066
#11
12.00.1
10.210.0
Auto3.6
Teleop7.1
End1.3
Third
9617
#39
6.81.0
7.46.4
Auto3.0
Teleop3.0
End0.9
blue by 1.6
7459
#29
8.40.1
6.86.7
Auto3.3
Teleop3.7
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed