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Red75
946116.1
115627.5
948413.8
Blue23
756710.9
91958.8
92180.6
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions462204060807523

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.52.4
17.620.0
Auto12.7
Teleop12.5
End2.2
red by 16.6
7567
#42
10.90.0
11.511.5
Auto3.7
Teleop6.6
End0.6
Second
9461
#19
16.12.4
11.113.5
Auto5.9
Teleop7.9
End2.3
red by 7.3
9195
#46
8.80.0
6.46.4
Auto4.4
Teleop3.9
End0.5
Third
13.82.4
10.012.4
Auto6.9
Teleop4.7
End2.2
red by 13.2
9218
#55
0.60.0
5.25.2
Auto0.3
Teleop0.4
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsEarned12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed