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Red20
640410.6
930210.9
96145.8
Blue42
904810.8
186013.1
908515.0
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2743010205060702042

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9302
#48
10.90.9
7.56.6
Auto3.9
Teleop6.5
End0.5
blue by 4.0
15.00.4
13.213.6
Auto4.5
Teleop8.9
End1.6
Second
6404
#32
10.60.9
11.010.2
Auto3.7
Teleop5.3
End1.6
blue by 2.5
1860
#18
13.10.4
12.813.2
Auto6.3
Teleop5.5
End1.3
Third
9614
#54
5.80.9
7.56.6
Auto1.3
Teleop3.9
End0.7
blue by 5.0
9048
#38
10.80.4
10.711.1
Auto4.9
Teleop5.5
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed