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Red63
115627.5
948517.8
917518.2
Blue51
948413.8
916916.9
177217.2
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3634253040455055606351

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.53.5
13.516.9
Auto12.7
Teleop12.5
End2.2
red by 10.3
1772
#13
17.21.8
10.712.5
Auto7.0
Teleop9.4
End0.9
Second
18.23.5
9.312.8
Auto4.5
Teleop12.1
End1.6
red by 1.3
9169
#27
16.91.8
10.812.6
Auto5.5
Teleop10.6
End0.8
Third
9485
#16
17.85.2
17.812.6
Auto6.7
Teleop10.1
End1.0
red by 3.9
13.82.9
13.811.0
Auto6.9
Teleop4.7
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsEarned20%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed