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Red55
827612.4
908515.0
960317.8
Blue24
916211.3
916310.3
756710.9
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30290102040505524

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9603
#26
17.85.5
17.812.3
Auto5.8
Teleop11.2
End0.8
red by 6.5
9162
#24
11.31.4
6.65.1
Auto4.2
Teleop6.0
End1.1
Second
15.03.2
9.913.0
Auto4.5
Teleop8.9
End1.6
red by 4.1
7567
#42
10.91.4
11.910.5
Auto3.7
Teleop6.6
End0.6
Third
8276
#22
12.43.2
7.610.8
Auto6.0
Teleop6.1
End0.3
red by 2.1
9163
#40
10.31.4
8.47.0
Auto6.9
Teleop2.2
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsEarned18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsEarned