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Red64
186013.1
756316.0
948413.8
Blue42
90499.3
916412.4
580015.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43402530355055606442

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7563
#10
16.00.4
13.213.5
Auto5.9
Teleop7.3
End2.8
red by 0.2
5800
#30
15.80.6
14.415.0
Auto7.1
Teleop7.7
End1.0
Second
13.80.4
12.412.7
Auto6.9
Teleop4.7
End2.2
red by 1.5
9164
#37
12.40.6
11.712.3
Auto7.1
Teleop3.9
End1.3
Third
1860
#18
13.10.4
13.213.6
Auto6.3
Teleop5.5
End1.3
red by 3.9
9049
#50
9.30.6
10.310.9
Auto2.7
Teleop5.8
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsEarned7%Ensemble oddsMissed