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Red35
921911.4
91668.8
960317.8
Blue47
115627.5
948711.3
91968.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions404320305060703547

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9603
#26
17.80.2
16.616.4
Auto5.8
Teleop11.2
End0.8
blue by 9.8
27.51.0
20.020.9
Auto12.7
Teleop12.5
End2.2
Second
9219
#28
11.40.2
11.111.0
Auto2.6
Teleop8.3
End0.4
red by 0.1
9487
#33
11.31.0
11.512.4
Auto3.1
Teleop6.7
End1.4
Third
9166
#51
8.80.2
8.98.7
Auto3.3
Teleop5.1
End0.4
red by 0.5
9196
#45
8.31.0
6.97.8
Auto2.6
Teleop5.0
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed