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Red56
917518.2
945816.3
96578.7
Blue32
930512.9
186013.1
888217.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47350204060801005632

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.21.6
17.118.7
Auto4.5
Teleop12.1
End1.6
red by 1.2
8882
#25
17.00.2
8.98.8
Auto6.9
Teleop10.0
End0.1
Second
16.31.6
14.516.2
Auto5.6
Teleop9.7
End0.9
red by 3.2
1860
#18
13.10.2
13.613.4
Auto6.3
Teleop5.5
End1.3
Third
9657
#41
8.71.6
9.711.3
Auto4.8
Teleop3.7
End0.2
blue by 4.2
9305
#43
12.90.2
10.910.7
Auto3.0
Teleop9.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsEarned13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed