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Red25
948711.3
96176.8
904810.8
Blue59
916412.4
115627.5
80669.0
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30491020406070802559

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9487
#33
11.30.7
12.411.7
Auto3.1
Teleop6.7
End1.4
blue by 16.2
27.50.2
20.921.2
Auto12.7
Teleop12.5
End2.2
Second
9048
#38
10.80.7
10.910.2
Auto4.9
Teleop5.5
End0.5
blue by 1.5
9164
#37
12.40.2
12.312.5
Auto7.1
Teleop3.9
End1.3
Third
9617
#39
6.80.7
6.15.4
Auto3.0
Teleop3.0
End0.9
blue by 2.2
8066
#23
9.00.2
8.78.9
Auto3.0
Teleop5.2
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsEarned