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Red54
946019.7
580015.8
917810.5
Blue53
960317.8
945912.9
930210.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3940203050605453

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9460
#12
19.71.5
13.815.3
Auto7.3
Teleop11.7
End0.7
red by 1.9
9603
#26
17.81.9
17.018.9
Auto5.8
Teleop11.2
End0.8
Second
5800
#30
15.81.5
13.214.7
Auto7.1
Teleop7.7
End1.0
red by 2.9
9459
#49
12.91.9
10.712.6
Auto4.9
Teleop7.0
End1.0
Third
9178
#44
10.51.5
8.510.0
Auto3.0
Teleop6.7
End0.8
blue by 0.4
9302
#48
10.91.9
8.410.2
Auto3.9
Teleop6.5
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed