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Red38
920019.0
90457.5
91657.5
Blue40
186013.1
917518.2
70339.3
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions335101020406070803840

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9200
#14
19.00.7
16.617.3
Auto6.2
Teleop11.5
End1.2
red by 0.8
18.20.4
18.918.5
Auto4.5
Teleop12.1
End1.6
Second
9045
#34
7.50.7
6.87.5
Auto3.5
Teleop3.7
End0.3
blue by 5.6
1860
#18
13.10.4
14.013.6
Auto6.3
Teleop5.5
End1.3
Third
9165
#53
7.50.7
8.49.1
Auto3.2
Teleop3.9
End0.5
blue by 1.8
7033
#36
9.30.4
10.810.4
Auto3.5
Teleop3.8
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed25%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed