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Red32
70339.3
960317.8
916412.4
Blue58
906612.0
960219.7
917518.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47510204060801001203258

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9603
#26
17.81.1
18.917.8
Auto5.8
Teleop11.2
End0.8
blue by 1.9
19.70.4
15.015.4
Auto6.0
Teleop13.0
End0.6
Second
9164
#37
12.41.2
13.712.4
Auto7.1
Teleop3.9
End1.3
blue by 5.9
18.20.4
18.518.9
Auto4.5
Teleop12.1
End1.6
Third
7033
#36
9.31.1
10.49.3
Auto3.5
Teleop3.8
End2.0
blue by 2.7
9066
#11
12.00.4
11.912.3
Auto3.6
Teleop7.1
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed25%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed