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Red66
756316.0
115627.5
640410.6
Blue43
945912.9
920019.0
911010.0
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54432030506070806643

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.51.2
23.724.9
Auto12.7
Teleop12.5
End2.2
red by 8.5
9200
#14
19.00.3
17.317.6
Auto6.2
Teleop11.5
End1.2
Second
7563
#10
16.01.2
14.215.5
Auto5.9
Teleop7.3
End2.8
red by 3.1
9459
#49
12.90.3
12.612.9
Auto4.9
Teleop7.0
End1.0
Third
6404
#32
10.61.2
9.410.6
Auto3.7
Teleop5.3
End1.6
red by 0.6
9110
#47
10.00.3
10.210.5
Auto3.6
Teleop5.1
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsEarned17%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsEarned5%Ensemble oddsMissed