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Red32
916818.0
916310.3
186013.1
Blue60
904713.5
946019.7
960418.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43502030607080901003260

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9168
#31
18.01.0
14.713.7
Auto6.2
Teleop10.7
End1.1
blue by 1.7
9460
#12
19.70.1
15.315.4
Auto7.3
Teleop11.7
End0.7
Second
1860
#18
13.11.0
13.612.6
Auto6.3
Teleop5.5
End1.3
blue by 5.7
18.80.1
17.317.4
Auto8.7
Teleop9.7
End0.4
Third
9163
#40
10.31.0
11.310.3
Auto6.9
Teleop2.2
End1.1
blue by 3.2
13.50.1
11.711.8
Auto5.0
Teleop7.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed24%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsEarned