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Red49
948413.8
905015.3
948611.6
Blue44
756522.9
961110.9
904810.8
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40481020306070804944

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9050
#21
15.31.2
14.115.3
Auto7.0
Teleop7.8
End0.6
blue by 7.6
7565
#20
22.90.2
20.720.9
Auto7.6
Teleop14.6
End0.7
Second
13.81.3
12.714.0
Auto6.9
Teleop4.7
End2.2
red by 2.9
9611
#15
10.90.2
10.710.9
Auto4.4
Teleop5.6
End1.0
Third
9486
#17
11.61.3
10.311.6
Auto4.4
Teleop6.6
End0.6
red by 0.8
9048
#38
10.80.2
10.610.8
Auto4.9
Teleop5.5
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed