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Red19
91657.5
945816.3
92180.6
Blue52
908515.0
96176.8
921911.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions323901020506070801952

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.31.6
18.116.5
Auto5.6
Teleop9.7
End0.9
red by 1.3
15.00.2
16.115.8
Auto4.5
Teleop8.9
End1.6
Second
9165
#53
7.51.6
9.17.5
Auto3.2
Teleop3.9
End0.5
blue by 3.9
9219
#28
11.40.2
11.010.8
Auto2.6
Teleop8.3
End0.4
Third
9218
#55
0.61.6
2.20.6
Auto0.3
Teleop0.4
End-0.1
blue by 6.2
9617
#39
6.80.2
7.06.8
Auto3.0
Teleop3.0
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsEarned