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Red19
96753.7
91668.8
827612.4
Blue57
917810.5
948517.8
96578.7
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions294101020506070801957

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8276
#22
12.40.9
13.312.4
Auto6.0
Teleop6.1
End0.3
blue by 5.4
9485
#16
17.80.5
17.317.8
Auto6.7
Teleop10.1
End1.0
Second
9166
#51
8.81.0
9.78.8
Auto3.3
Teleop5.1
End0.4
blue by 1.7
9178
#44
10.50.5
10.010.5
Auto3.0
Teleop6.7
End0.8
Third
9675
#52
3.71.0
4.63.7
Auto1.6
Teleop0.7
End1.4
blue by 5.0
9657
#41
8.70.5
8.28.7
Auto4.8
Teleop3.7
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed