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Red27
91968.3
930512.9
90457.5
Blue26
96145.8
580015.8
80669.0
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions293401020405060702726

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9305
#43
12.90.0
11.211.2
Auto3.0
Teleop9.1
End0.8
blue by 2.9
5800
#30
15.80.5
14.714.2
Auto7.1
Teleop7.7
End1.0
Second
9196
#45
8.30.0
8.38.3
Auto2.6
Teleop5.0
End0.7
blue by 0.7
8066
#23
9.00.5
9.49.0
Auto3.0
Teleop5.2
End0.7
Third
9045
#34
7.50.0
7.57.5
Auto3.5
Teleop3.7
End0.3
red by 1.7
9614
#54
5.80.5
6.35.8
Auto1.3
Teleop3.9
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed