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Red64
207328.8
412318.6
768215.9
Blue56
59916.2
50129.2
39927.3
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5839020801001206456

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2073
#10
28.80.9
23.424.3
Auto11.8
Teleop14.4
End2.7
red by 1.6
399
#12
27.31.1
20.221.3
Auto8.9
Teleop15.4
End2.9
Second
4123
#15
18.60.9
16.017.0
Auto7.2
Teleop9.8
End1.6
red by 2.5
599
#32
16.21.1
9.811.0
Auto6.6
Teleop9.1
End0.5
Third
7682
#21
15.91.6
10.612.1
Auto6.4
Teleop9.5
End0.1
red by 6.7
5012
#28
9.21.1
7.28.3
Auto3.4
Teleop4.4
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
54%Melody oddsEarned37%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
25%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed