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Red42
76077.5
606017.3
96816.1
Blue46
58573.4
96669.3
29435.7
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions375002060804246

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6060
#27
17.30.5
14.014.5
Auto6.9
Teleop8.5
End2.0
blue by 18.4
294
#2
35.70.2
25.825.9
Auto11.3
Teleop21.2
End3.2
Second
968
#17
16.10.5
12.713.1
Auto3.8
Teleop11.6
End0.6
red by 6.8
9666
#29
9.30.3
10.310.6
Auto3.0
Teleop5.3
End1.0
Third
7607
#31
7.50.5
8.59.0
Auto4.1
Teleop2.7
End0.7
red by 4.1
5857
#35
3.40.2
7.67.7
Auto1.1
Teleop1.9
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsMissed47%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed