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Red20
183613.8
94716.3
607218.8
Blue71
630514.4
665724.5
114833.4
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3978020601001202071

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6072
#13
18.81.3
14.913.6
Auto7.1
Teleop11.2
End0.5
blue by 14.7
33.40.1
25.825.7
Auto8.9
Teleop20.9
End3.6
Second
1836
#19
13.81.3
14.713.4
Auto4.5
Teleop9.0
End0.2
blue by 10.8
24.50.1
23.923.8
Auto11.6
Teleop10.8
End2.1
Third
9471
#38
6.32.2
10.17.9
Auto5.6
Teleop0.8
End-0.1
blue by 8.0
6305
#36
14.40.1
15.815.7
Auto5.4
Teleop8.0
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
39%Melody oddsMissed84%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsMissed