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Red64
39938.1
151523.7
767315.2
Blue45
647914.1
265930.2
586912.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49530204060801001206445

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1515
#18
23.70.9
21.822.7
Auto10.1
Teleop12.2
End1.5
blue by 6.4
30.20.1
23.223.0
Auto10.8
Teleop15.6
End3.8
Second
7673
#11
15.20.9
9.910.9
Auto6.8
Teleop7.0
End1.4
red by 1.1
6479
#25
14.10.1
13.413.3
Auto3.4
Teleop9.6
End1.0
Third
3993
#33
8.11.6
13.214.7
Auto5.3
Teleop1.6
End1.2
blue by 4.7
5869
#40
12.80.2
10.610.3
Auto2.6
Teleop9.7
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
36%Melody oddsEarned51%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed32%Ensemble oddsMissed