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Red64
265823.5
254318.2
441921.9
Blue45
50129.2
768215.9
876821.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6139020801001206445

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2658
#20
23.50.8
20.621.4
Auto7.5
Teleop13.6
End2.4
red by 2.5
8768
#26
21.10.5
17.417.9
Auto3.6
Teleop15.0
End2.5
Second
21.90.8
14.315.1
Auto8.4
Teleop12.3
End1.3
red by 6.0
7682
#21
15.90.8
12.112.9
Auto6.4
Teleop9.5
End0.1
Third
2543
#22
18.20.8
17.418.2
Auto6.8
Teleop9.9
End1.6
red by 9.1
5012
#28
9.20.5
8.38.8
Auto3.4
Teleop4.4
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
58%Melody oddsEarned30%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsEarned15%Ensemble oddsMissed