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Red40
254318.2
76077.5
39938.1
Blue90
768215.9
545828.0
151523.7
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions437002060801001204090

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2543
#22
18.20.8
18.217.4
Auto6.8
Teleop9.9
End1.6
blue by 9.7
28.01.3
24.625.9
Auto9.5
Teleop15.2
End3.2
Second
3993
#33
8.11.3
14.713.4
Auto5.3
Teleop1.6
End1.2
blue by 15.7
1515
#18
23.71.3
22.724.1
Auto10.1
Teleop12.2
End1.5
Third
7607
#31
7.50.8
8.88.1
Auto4.1
Teleop2.7
End0.7
blue by 8.5
7682
#21
15.92.2
12.915.1
Auto6.4
Teleop9.5
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
41%Melody oddsMissed67%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsEarned12%Ensemble oddsMissed