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Red82
242925.8
39927.3
401412.3
Blue65
59916.2
441921.9
94716.3
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68330204060801001208265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
399
#12
27.30.3
21.121.4
Auto8.9
Teleop15.4
End2.9
red by 5.3
21.92.1
15.117.1
Auto8.4
Teleop12.3
End1.3
Second
25.80.3
22.522.8
Auto9.5
Teleop14.4
End1.9
red by 9.6
599
#32
16.22.1
10.913.0
Auto6.6
Teleop9.1
End0.5
Third
4014
#37
12.30.3
14.014.2
Auto3.9
Teleop7.3
End1.1
red by 6.0
9471
#38
6.33.5
7.911.4
Auto5.6
Teleop0.8
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
74%Melody oddsEarned29%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed