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Red49
767315.2
80063.9
606017.3
Blue83
29435.7
665724.5
412318.6
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2483040601001201404983

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6060
#27
17.31.0
14.615.7
Auto6.9
Teleop8.5
End2.0
blue by 18.4
294
#2
35.71.0
26.927.9
Auto11.3
Teleop21.2
End3.2
Second
7673
#11
15.21.0
10.911.9
Auto6.8
Teleop7.0
End1.4
blue by 9.4
24.51.0
23.824.8
Auto11.6
Teleop10.8
End2.1
Third
8006
#39
3.91.0
2.83.8
Auto4.2
Teleop-0.1
End-0.1
blue by 14.7
4123
#15
18.61.0
17.118.1
Auto7.2
Teleop9.8
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed88%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed37%Ensemble oddsMissed