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Red32
96669.3
24047.9
647914.1
Blue19
401412.3
58573.4
183613.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37390102030506070803219

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6479
#25
14.11.1
14.413.2
Auto3.4
Teleop9.6
End1.0
red by 0.3
1836
#19
13.81.1
12.911.8
Auto4.5
Teleop9.0
End0.2
Second
9666
#29
9.31.9
10.38.4
Auto3.0
Teleop5.3
End1.0
blue by 3.1
4014
#37
12.31.1
14.213.2
Auto3.9
Teleop7.3
End1.1
Third
2404
#34
7.91.9
9.27.3
Auto4.1
Teleop3.7
End0.1
red by 4.5
5857
#35
3.41.1
8.17.0
Auto1.1
Teleop1.9
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsEarned7%Ensemble oddsMissed