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Red65
6919.2
412318.6
258426.0
Blue24
80063.9
50129.2
39938.1
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions602502040801006524

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.00.8
24.625.5
Auto8.1
Teleop14.3
End3.6
red by 16.9
5012
#28
9.20.9
9.99.0
Auto3.4
Teleop4.4
End1.4
Second
4123
#15
18.60.8
18.119.0
Auto7.2
Teleop9.8
End1.6
red by 10.6
3993
#33
8.11.5
13.412.0
Auto5.3
Teleop1.6
End1.2
Third
691
#24
9.20.8
7.68.5
Auto1.5
Teleop6.6
End1.1
red by 5.3
8006
#39
3.90.9
3.82.9
Auto4.2
Teleop-0.1
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
60%Melody oddsEarned23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
34%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsEarned