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Red99
39927.3
207328.8
151523.7
Blue108
114833.4
258426.0
153831.1
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8086406010012014099108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2073
#10
28.81.7
26.528.2
Auto11.8
Teleop14.4
End2.7
blue by 4.6
33.42.0
26.028.0
Auto8.9
Teleop20.9
End3.6
Second
399
#12
27.31.7
23.725.4
Auto8.9
Teleop15.4
End2.9
blue by 3.9
31.12.0
25.928.0
Auto13.0
Teleop17.2
End1.0
Third
1515
#18
23.71.7
23.224.9
Auto10.1
Teleop12.2
End1.5
blue by 2.3
26.02.0
25.527.5
Auto8.1
Teleop14.3
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
84%Melody oddsEarned94%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed27%Ensemble oddsEarned