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Red40
767315.2
412318.6
59916.2
Blue54
607218.8
744422.7
432217.5
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5352405060704054

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4123
#15
18.60.5
19.018.5
Auto7.2
Teleop9.8
End1.6
blue by 4.0
7444
#16
22.70.4
18.719.1
Auto10.3
Teleop9.9
End2.5
Second
599
#32
16.20.5
14.113.6
Auto6.6
Teleop9.1
End0.5
blue by 2.6
6072
#13
18.80.4
16.316.7
Auto7.1
Teleop11.2
End0.5
Third
7673
#11
15.20.5
14.213.8
Auto6.8
Teleop7.0
End1.4
blue by 2.3
4322
#23
17.50.4
12.813.2
Auto8.0
Teleop9.0
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
59%Melody oddsMissed57%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed