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Red73
114833.4
744422.7
647914.1
Blue36
254318.2
96669.3
59916.2
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions703902060801001201401607336

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.40.9
28.028.9
Auto8.9
Teleop20.9
End3.6
red by 15.2
2543
#22
18.20.2
17.617.4
Auto6.8
Teleop9.9
End1.6
Second
7444
#16
22.70.9
19.120.0
Auto10.3
Teleop9.9
End2.5
red by 6.5
599
#32
16.20.2
13.613.4
Auto6.6
Teleop9.1
End0.5
Third
6479
#25
14.10.9
12.813.6
Auto3.4
Teleop9.6
End1.0
red by 4.8
9666
#29
9.30.3
7.87.5
Auto3.0
Teleop5.3
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
73%Melody oddsEarned24%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsEarned12%Ensemble oddsMissed