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Red41
151523.7
586912.8
58573.4
Blue54
80063.9
441921.9
607218.8
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions454530405060704154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1515
#18
23.70.3
24.924.6
Auto10.1
Teleop12.2
End1.5
red by 1.8
21.91.0
19.320.3
Auto8.4
Teleop12.3
End1.3
Second
5869
#40
12.80.4
13.312.9
Auto2.6
Teleop9.7
End0.5
blue by 6.0
6072
#13
18.81.0
16.717.7
Auto7.1
Teleop11.2
End0.5
Third
5857
#35
3.40.3
4.74.5
Auto1.1
Teleop1.9
End0.3
blue by 0.6
8006
#39
3.91.0
2.73.7
Auto4.2
Teleop-0.1
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed57%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed