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Red44
606017.3
94716.3
242925.8
Blue36
183613.8
39938.1
153831.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54602040801004436

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.80.4
24.524.1
Auto9.5
Teleop14.4
End1.9
blue by 5.4
31.11.1
28.026.8
Auto13.0
Teleop17.2
End1.0
Second
6060
#27
17.30.4
17.116.7
Auto6.9
Teleop8.5
End2.0
red by 3.6
1836
#19
13.81.1
14.113.0
Auto4.5
Teleop9.0
End0.2
Third
9471
#38
6.30.5
8.17.6
Auto5.6
Teleop0.8
End-0.1
blue by 1.7
3993
#33
8.11.7
11.19.4
Auto5.3
Teleop1.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
35%Melody oddsMissed64%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed