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Red46
94716.3
153831.1
768215.9
Blue35
647914.1
856914.5
80063.9
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47270204060801004635

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.10.6
21.822.3
Auto13.0
Teleop17.2
End1.0
red by 16.6
8569
#30
14.51.3
9.38.0
Auto6.7
Teleop6.0
End1.9
Second
7682
#21
15.90.7
9.29.8
Auto6.4
Teleop9.5
End0.1
red by 1.9
6479
#25
14.10.9
13.512.6
Auto3.4
Teleop9.6
End1.0
Third
9471
#38
6.33.5
6.39.8
Auto5.6
Teleop0.8
End-0.1
red by 2.4
8006
#39
3.91.0
3.92.9
Auto4.2
Teleop-0.1
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
39%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsEarned