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Red50
513721.0
265823.5
24047.9
Blue62
76077.5
6919.2
114833.4
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions614802040801001201401605062

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2658
#20
23.50.2
22.522.3
Auto7.5
Teleop13.6
End2.4
blue by 9.9
33.40.9
28.929.8
Auto8.9
Teleop20.9
End3.6
Second
5137
#14
21.00.2
22.021.8
Auto8.1
Teleop11.5
End1.3
red by 11.8
691
#24
9.20.9
9.410.3
Auto1.5
Teleop6.6
End1.1
Third
2404
#34
7.90.4
8.98.5
Auto4.1
Teleop3.7
End0.1
red by 0.4
7607
#31
7.50.9
6.47.3
Auto4.1
Teleop2.7
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
50%Melody oddsMissed49%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
49%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsEarned