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Red103
441921.9
744422.7
39927.3
Blue44
96816.1
183613.8
586912.8
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76420206010012014010344

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
399
#12
27.31.9
24.326.2
Auto8.9
Teleop15.4
End2.9
red by 11.2
968
#17
16.10.2
15.815.9
Auto3.8
Teleop11.6
End0.6
Second
7444
#16
22.71.9
20.021.9
Auto10.3
Teleop9.9
End2.5
red by 8.9
1836
#19
13.80.2
13.013.1
Auto4.5
Teleop9.0
End0.2
Third
21.91.9
20.322.2
Auto8.4
Teleop12.3
End1.3
red by 9.2
5869
#40
12.80.2
12.913.1
Auto2.6
Teleop9.7
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
86%Melody oddsEarned42%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsEarned8%Ensemble oddsMissed